TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:27 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for October 18 at 11:15 AM ET.
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for October 18 at 11:15 AM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and more traders participate. However, sportsbook odds may incorporate factors not fully captured by the prediction market, such as team news or injuries, leading to discrepancies.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and adjusts in real-time as new information emerges and trading activity fluctuates.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the FC Lorient vs. AS Monaco FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the basis of the market’s resolution.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Lorient or AS Monaco FC would likely cause a shift in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day and any pre-game tactical announcements from the managers could all contribute to movement in the market. Monitoring sports news and team updates is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.