TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:37 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Lorient and AS Monaco FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Lorient" if FC Lorient are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Lorient and AS Monaco FC, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Lorient" if FC Lorient are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). This market will resolve to "AS Monaco FC" if AS Monaco FC are the first to score in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If neither team scores in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time), this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about whether Lorient or Monaco will score first in the first half. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share represents the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current market reflects the collective judgment of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, if any, scores the first goal during the first half of the FC Lorient versus AS Monaco FC match. The official match records will be used to verify the result. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and will be publicly available shortly after the first half concludes, providing a clear and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Lorient or Monaco would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before kickoff could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even late-breaking news about team morale, could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on Polymarket – could quickly alter the odds, reflecting a change in perceived probability.