TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional DFB Pokal soccer match between FC Köln and Union Berlin. Bettors can speculate on whether FC Köln, Union Berlin, or a tied result will occur after the full 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The markets resolve based on the official match result under specific conditions.
The markets resolve based on the official result of the FC Köln vs Union Berlin professional DFB Pokal soccer match originally scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: FC Köln win, Union Berlin win, or a tied result. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. If a significant amount of money flows towards a particular outcome, the odds will adjust accordingly, potentially signaling information not yet fully priced into traditional betting markets. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Köln vs Union Berlin match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The more traders participate, the more efficiently the market reflects collective knowledge about the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Köln vs Union Berlin match, as officially recorded, will determine the winning contract. This includes accounting for any potential overtime or tie-breaking procedures according to the official rules of the league. The resolution process aims to be objective and based on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Köln or Union Berlin would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news about key personnel, or even a significant shift in public perception based on pre-match analysis, could all contribute to movement in the market before Oct 27, 2026.