TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Bundesliga soccer match between FC Köln and Schalke. Participants assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple markets based on the total goals scored in the FC Köln vs Schalke Bundesliga match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined goals scored by both teams must exceed the specified threshold within the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from all calculations. All markets operate independently, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the Bundesliga or its governing bodies, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, this market might show a more nuanced view, especially if there’s significant uncertainty or disagreement among traders about the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or analytical approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Köln vs Schalke match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time forecast. The closer we get to the match, the more the price will likely reflect the perceived certainty of the result.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the FC Köln versus Schalke match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not. The market will close prior to the official result being published.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Köln or Schalke would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact prices. Unexpected tactical announcements from either manager, or even pre-match analysis suggesting a shift in expected gameplay, could all contribute to fluctuations in this market as traders adjust their predictions.