TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 11:33 AM EST
Kalshi
The event is a football match between two teams in a major league. It will take place on a specified date, and the outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score a goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee. The focus is solely on the in-game performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If FC Köln and M´gladbach both score a goal in the FC Köln vs M´gladbach Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, driven by real money at risk, can sometimes identify discrepancies or undervalued probabilities compared to those offered by sportsbooks. It’s important to compare both to make informed decisions, considering that each represents a different form of forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Köln and M'gladbach score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have scored, and that information will be used to settle the contracts. Traders will be able to see the final result and their contract payouts shortly after the match concludes.
Several factors could influence this market before the Oct 11, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Köln or M'gladbach would likely have a significant impact. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or shifts in team form based on recent matches, could also move the market. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-game analysis highlighting a change in offensive or defensive strategies, could all contribute to shifts in the perceived probability of both teams scoring.