TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 3:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the October 26, 2026 Danish Superliga soccer match between FC København and Odense BK, specifically whether the game will end in a draw. Currently, the aggregated probability of a draw is 90.0%, based on data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by official match statistics reported at https://superligaen.dk/. With a significant difference in cancellation handling between platforms, keep a close watch on whether a make-up game is scheduled should the October 26th fixture be cancelled.
This event is for the upcoming Denmark Superliga game, scheduled for Monday, October 26, 2026 between FC København and Odense BK.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Copenhagen vs Odense professional Danish Superliga soccer match scheduled for October 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Copenhagen market occurs if Copenhagen wins the match outright within regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for Odense applies if Odense achieves a victory within the same timeframe. If the match concludes in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider results within regular time and do not account for extra time, penalty kicks, or other post-regulation resolutions.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, factoring in a margin, while prediction markets allow participants to directly bet against each other. This market reflects the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more efficient and accurate indicators of the true probability of an event happening than traditional odds, though discrepancies can occur based on differing information and risk appetites.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in trader participation, liquidity, and risk appetite on each platform. Each venue attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information about the Danish Superliga match. Furthermore, the specific market design and fee structures on Polymarket and Kalshi can influence trading behavior and price discovery. These factors can lead to temporary discrepancies in the perceived probability of the outcome, even though both markets ultimately aim to reflect the same underlying event.