TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 11:06 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in a league game. The result depends solely on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. Market resolution considers potential game cancellations or rescheduling, ensuring fair pricing adjustments if necessary.
The event resolves based on the result of the FC Kafr Qasim vs Bnei Yehuda professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for FC Kafr Qasim, a win for Bnei Yehuda, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's guidelines. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from consideration. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. As more information becomes available and traders exchange views, the odds here can converge or diverge from those found at sportsbooks, potentially offering opportunities for value depending on your assessment of the event. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast outcomes as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, analysis, and their own risk tolerance, which drives the price fluctuations you observe. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price rises, indicating increased confidence in its likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the FC Kafr Qasim versus Bnei Yehuda Israeli Premier League match. The final score and official match results will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions impacting the match, or even pre-game analysis from prominent sports commentators, could also move the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the perceived probabilities of each outcome.