TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 11:01 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between FC Kafr Qasim and Ashdod. The result depends solely on which team wins in regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. Any postponement or cancellation beyond a set timeframe triggers a special resolution process.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the FC Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod professional Liga Leumit soccer match scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. If FC Kafr Qasim secures a victory under these conditions, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Ashdod achieves the win, its market resolves affirmatively. Should the match conclude with an equal scoreline at the end of regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The operator explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related intellectual property.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading contracts, potentially driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. This dynamic can create opportunities for arbitrage or simply reveal differing perspectives on the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices adjust to new information or changing sentiment. Traders are constantly evaluating the available information and adjusting their positions, leading to a dynamic and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Kafr Qasim vs Ashdod match will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the final score and declare the winner, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or settle their losing positions based on the verified outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact the perceived likelihood of each outcome. Weather conditions on the day of the match, as well as any pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could also sway trader sentiment. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could trigger price movements, reflecting their assessment of the evolving situation.