TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of FC Juárez vs Club Tijuana?

Volume:
$874,596

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 10, 8:58 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$182,275
N/A
N/A
$85,396
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana)

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,677
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tijuana

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$411,446
N/A
N/A
$192,430
Settled
No
polymarket

Club Tijuana

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,687
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Juarez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$220,556
N/A
N/A
$142,567
Settled
No
polymarket

FC Juárez

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,956
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the probability of a draw in the FC Juárez versus Club Tijuana Liga MX soccer match on October 10, 2026, as determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 99.5%. This forecast aggregates data from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the outcome of the game as defined by the Liga MX official result. Keep an eye on October 11, 2026, as this is the current estimated resolution date for the market following the match.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing resolution logic for game cancellation or indefinite postponement. Polymarket specifies a 'No' resolution for win markets upon cancellation, while Kalshi relies on eventual outcome or subjective assessment.Hero tip: Consider Polymarket's markets for more certainty regarding cancellation scenarios. Kalshi markets may require monitoring for updates if the game is postponed indefinitely.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If the game is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' and draw markets resolve to 'Yes'. Postponement keeps markets open.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes + stoppage time. If the game is canceled or postponed, the market resolves based on the eventual outcome if/when played. If never played, it resolves based on the most likely outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for Saturday, October 10, 2026 between FC Juárez and Club Tijuana.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the designated Liga MX soccer match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either team-specific market occurs only if that team secures a victory within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves positively if the game concludes with an equal score at the end of regulation. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will settle at a fair price as determined per platform policy. The operator emphasizes it holds no official affiliation with the league or its governing bodies.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while this market’s prices are driven by real money changing hands. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly when public sentiment diverges from expert opinion. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics, this market can quickly adjust to incorporate new information or unexpected developments, potentially offering more dynamic pricing.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading fees, and market-specific rules. Each platform attracts a different demographic of traders with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. Polymarket might see more activity from casual bettors, while Kalshi could attract more sophisticated traders. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the stadium could also influence the outcome and, therefore, the market. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, driven by media coverage or social media trends, could lead to increased trading volume and price movements. Major tactical adjustments announced by either team's coach could also shift predictions and alter the prices in this market.