TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Juárez vs. CF Monterrey
Volume:
$864,997
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Liga MX professional soccer match between FC Juárez and CF Monterrey scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Monterrey win, Juárez win, or draw, all evaluated at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes are specified to resolve to Yes. Additionally, Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation handling, with Polymarket treating draw as Yes on cancellation while Monterrey and Juárez wins resolve No.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market structure is fundamentally unresolvable as written. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi on intended resolution logic before trading. Polymarket's cancellation rule for draw (Yes) is non-standard; confirm this interpretation with support. Consider avoiding Kalshi markets until logic is corrected.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: All three markets (Monterrey win, Juárez win, draw) contain identical resolution language: 'then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where three mutually exclusive outcomes cannot all resolve to Yes in a single match. Key Quote: 'If Monterrey wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Juarez wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with differentiated cancellation logic. Monterrey win and Juárez win resolve No on cancellation with no make-up game. Draw resolves Yes on cancellation with no make-up game. Key Quote for draw: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.' Key Quote for wins: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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