TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:39 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Groningen" if FC Groningen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sparta Rotterdam" if Sparta Rotterdam are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Groningen" if FC Groningen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sparta Rotterdam" if Sparta Rotterdam are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, incorporating a margin for profit. This market, however, allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and information. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more accurate, particularly as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Discrepancies can also arise due to differing levels of public attention and the specific information factored into each pricing mechanism.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning if more people believe Groningen will score first, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team—FC Groningen or Sparta Rotterdam—scores the first goal in the match. The official match records will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Any potential disputes will be evaluated based on widely accepted football rules and official match data. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Polymarket.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Groningen or Sparta Rotterdam would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could influence trading activity and adjust the probabilities within this market.