TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 2:49 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Eredivisie game between FC Groningen and AFC Ajax, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Eredivisie game between FC Groningen and AFC Ajax, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 10:45 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds, like those found for this market, tend to reflect a more accurate aggregate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, leading to a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect. While sportsbooks may incorporate biases or margins for profit, this market allows traders to directly express their predictions. However, sportsbook odds can still be useful for comparison, and discrepancies may present opportunities for arbitrage, though these are often quickly exploited by market participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the FC Groningen vs. AFC Ajax match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing football authorities. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome on Polymarket once it's available, and payouts will be distributed accordingly. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team lineups, or changes in coaching staff for either FC Groningen or AFC Ajax could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role. Furthermore, general football news and analysis, as well as any shifts in public sentiment, could impact trading volume and price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 18, 2026.