TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca
kalshi
limitless
polymarket

What is the result of FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca?

Total volume:
$5
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$8,696
29%
Open interest:
$5N/A

FC Famalicão

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 04d:04h:30m

Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-11-06?

48%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 49¢ buys you 204 shares | Odds: 48% Total Payout: $204 | Net Profit: $104 Multiplier: 2.04x | ROI: 104% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Famalicão

Trade
48%
5%
Yes 49¢No 53¢
2¢
$2,788
$5
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 30m
Active
kalshi

Famalicao

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 7h 30m
Active
limitless

Famalicao

Trade
N/A
N/A
8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 30m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
48%
Yes 49¢No 53¢
Avg: 3.7¢Max: 8¢
polymarket

Draw (FC Famalicão vs. FC Arouca)

Trade
27%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
2¢
$3,034
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 30m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 7h 30m
Active
limitless

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
7.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 30m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 4.3¢Max: 7.8¢
polymarket

FC Arouca

Trade
25%
3%
Yes 26¢No 76¢
2¢
$2,874
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 4h 30m
Active
kalshi

Arouca

Trade
N/A
N/A
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 7h 30m
Active
limitless

Arouca

Trade
N/A
N/A
7.2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 4h 30m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 3.4¢Max: 7.2¢
Total markets: 9

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Liga Portugal soccer match between FC Famalicão and FC Arouca on November 6, 2026. Markets ask whether Famalicão will win, Arouca will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation/No-Game Resolution differs between platforms, with Kalshi lacking explicit guidance.Hero tip: Prioritize markets with clear cancellation rules (Polymarket, Limitless) over Kalshi to mitigate ambiguity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled with no make-up game. Uses a hierarchy of official sources, then Flashscore/Sofascore, then consensus reporting. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on win/tie/loss after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Doesn't explicitly address cancellation scenarios.
  • Limitless: Resolves to 'NO' if the match is not completed and no make-up match is scheduled. Uses official sources, then similar fallback options to Polymarket.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 between FC Famalicão and FC Arouca.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Famalicao vs Arouca professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for November 6, 2026, considering only the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Famalicao resolves the 'Famalicao' market to Yes; a win for Arouca resolves the 'Arouca' market to Yes; and a draw resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under exceptional circumstances.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 6, 2026, 20:45 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Famalicão vs. Arouca match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus probability based on trading volume across both platforms, which totals $5. This allows users to see how the market is interpreting the likelihood of different results. The current volume of this market is $5, indicating the level of interest and activity surrounding the event. This provides a comprehensive overview of predictions for the Famalicão vs. Arouca match.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to hedge their bets and express nuanced opinions, something not always possible with standard sportsbook wagers. The current volume of $5 suggests a growing interest in this alternative method of forecasting the outcome of the Famalicão vs. Arouca match.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions reflected in trading activity. Furthermore, the liquidity and trading volume on each platform—currently $5 overall—can influence price discovery. Different fee structures and platform-specific rules can also contribute to these discrepancies. It's common to see variations even when both platforms are tracking the same underlying event, as traders weigh information and express their beliefs independently.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Famalicão vs. Arouca match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the final score and officially settle this market based on that information. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses, as this will ultimately determine the outcome of this market. The volume currently stands at $5.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Famalicão or Arouca would likely shift probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also influence trader sentiment. News regarding coaching changes or internal team dynamics could also play a role. Finally, any significant weather forecasts predicting adverse conditions on match day might affect the perceived likelihood of different outcomes for this market.