TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Liga Portugal soccer match between FC Famalicão and FC Arouca scheduled for March 6, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three possible outcomes: Famalicão win, Arouca win, or draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation resolution rule (YES if canceled) that contradicts the win markets (NO if canceled) and creates logical inconsistency with Kalshi's implicit standard sports resolution.Hero Tip:
Do not assume draw and win markets will resolve consistently in a cancellation scenario. Contact Polymarket support to confirm whether the draw market's cancellation-to-YES rule is intentional. If trading across both platforms, treat cancellation risk as a separate hedge position.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets (Famalicão win, Arouca win, draw). Win markets resolve NO if canceled with no makeup. Draw market uniquely resolves YES if canceled with no makeup. All reference Liga Portugal official statistics within 2 hours post-match, or credible reporting consensus if delayed.Kalshi:
Three outcome markets (Famalicão win, Arouca win, tie/draw) that resolve YES if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard sports market convention implies cancellation = no resolution or market void.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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