TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Famalicão vs. Casa Pia AC
Volume:
$170,410
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Liga Portugal soccer match between FC Famalicão and Casa Pia AC scheduled for February 23, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic diverges between Polymarket (Draw resolves YES on cancellation; Win markets resolve NO) and Kalshi (no explicit cancellation clause provided). Postponement handling is consistent (markets remain open), but terminal cancellation scenarios differ.Hero Tip:
Monitor for cancellation risk. Polymarket Draw market has embedded cancellation optionality (YES if no make-up game); Kalshi Tie market does not. For standard match completion, all platforms converge on 90-minute + stoppage time scope. Verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol directly.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation logic. Famalicão Win and Casa Pia Win resolve NO on cancellation with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (Draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (Win markets). Postponement keeps markets open.
- Kalshi: Three outcome-specific markets (Tie, Famalicao, Casa Pia). Each resolves YES if the respective outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Markets appear to assume game completion; edge case handling is undefined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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