TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional KNVB soccer match between FC Eindhoven and Volendam, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. Participants can bet on either team winning or the match ending in a tie, with all resolutions based strictly on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time. The markets exclude outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the FC Eindhoven vs Volendam professional KNVB soccer game originally scheduled for October 27, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three separate markets exist: one for an FC Eindhoven win, one for a Volendam win, and one for a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, like others on Kalshi, allows traders to express their own probabilities, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into how the crowd perceives the likelihood of each outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of FC Eindhoven winning in regulation time. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the outcome. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants, creating a real-time assessment of the event's potential outcome. The current price reflects the market’s best estimate of the likelihood of this result.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the FC Eindhoven vs Volendam match is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the regulation time moneyline, meaning any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding a 'yes' contract will receive a payout if FC Eindhoven wins, while those holding a 'no' contract will receive a payout if Volendam wins or the match ends in a draw.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, large-volume trades on Kalshi can quickly move the price, especially if they represent informed opinions. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential price movements in this market.