TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers markets on the outcome of a Major League Soccer (MLS) match between FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes on October 24, 2026. Markets ask whether FC Dallas will win, San Jose Earthquakes will win, or the game will end in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes.
This event is for the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the underlying mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the market aggregates diverse information and incentivizes correct predictions. However, sportsbook odds are easily accessible and often influence initial market movements. Discrepancies can also arise from differing levels of information available to each group and varying risk appetites among traders and bettors. This market provides an alternative perspective on the event's probability.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict on this market can occur for several reasons. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk tolerance, which influence price formation. Polymarket may attract more informed traders specializing in soccer, leading to different valuations compared to Predict, which might have a broader, less specialized audience. Additionally, differing liquidity levels on each platform can amplify price movements. Regulatory factors and platform-specific rules can also contribute to these divergences, creating opportunities for arbitrage and reflecting varied market interpretations of the FC Dallas vs. San Jose match.