TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC
Volume:
$131,936
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the FC Dallas vs. Nashville SC MLS match scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets track three distinct outcomes: whether Nashville SC wins, whether FC Dallas wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. An additional market on Kalshi asks whether both teams score goals during regulation play.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's both-teams-score market operates on a different prediction dimension (goal-scoring event) than Polymarket's three mutually exclusive outcome markets (final result). While both reference the same match and 90+stoppage-time window, they resolve on independent criteria and cannot validate or contradict each other.Hero Tip:
These markets are complementary, not competing. Use Polymarket's outcome markets to predict the winner/draw, and Kalshi's both-teams-score market to predict match structure. A single match can satisfy both Kalshi Yes (both teams score) and any Polymarket outcome (e.g., 2-1 Dallas). Build separate trading theses for each dimension rather than seeking arbitrage.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets covering all possible regulation outcomes: Nashville Win (Yes if Nashville leads after 90+stoppage), FC Dallas Win (Yes if Dallas leads after 90+stoppage), and Draw (Yes if tied after 90+stoppage). Postponement keeps markets open until completion; cancellation with no makeup resolves Draw to Yes. Source: MLS official schedule.
- Kalshi: Single binary market: Both Teams Score (Yes if Nashville and Dallas both record at least one goal within 90+stoppage time). No explicit postponement or cancellation clause. Resolves independently of final match result.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.