TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 11:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction group covers various spread and over/under markets for the FC Dallas vs. Columbus Crew MLS game on October 28th. Markets range from point spreads to total goals scored, both for the game overall and within specific halves.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. This differs from sportsbook odds, which are typically set by a smaller team of professionals. While sportsbooks incorporate statistical models and expert analysis, prediction markets can be more sensitive to real-time information and shifts in public sentiment. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may quickly adjust to news or developments that sportsbooks haven't fully priced in. However, both offer valuable insights, and arbitrage opportunities can sometimes arise between them.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific market structures and available liquidity on each platform can influence pricing. For example, Polymarket currently favors Columbus Crew 2nd Half O/U 2.5 at 99 percent, while Predict leans toward Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5). These differences reflect the unique dynamics of each prediction market.