TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:29 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 31 at 2:00 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 31 at 2:00 PM ET.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and can be influenced by various factors, including public perception and breaking news.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a specific outcome. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the FC Cincinnati vs. Philadelphia Union match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league organizers. The market will then determine which outcome – a win for FC Cincinnati, a win for Philadelphia Union, or a draw – was correctly predicted by the highest-priced shares at the time of resolution. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either FC Cincinnati or Philadelphia Union would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also cause the market to react. Unexpected announcements related to team management or ownership could also introduce volatility. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.