TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:19h:47m
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This prediction market group focuses on various spread and over/under outcomes for the FC Cincinnati vs. Nashville SC MLS game on November 7th. Markets cover point spreads for both teams, total goals scored (over/under), and scoring in specific halves of the match.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for November 7 at 4:00 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for November 7 at 4:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective beliefs of traders who have 'skin in the game.' This market’s price is determined by traders willing to buy or sell based on their assessment of the game’s likely outcome. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate forecasts, especially when a large volume of trading occurs. The volume of $0 suggests a level of interest that could lead to a more informed price.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors. Different user bases, varying trading fees, and distinct market designs all contribute to potential divergence. For example, Polymarket currently favors Over 6.5 goals at 99 percent chance, while Predict leans toward Spread: Nashville SC (-4.5). This difference could be due to differing levels of expertise among traders on each platform, or simply differing risk appetites. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—$0 overall—influences price discovery and can create temporary imbalances.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official final score of the FC Cincinnati vs. Nashville SC match. The resolution will reflect the actual events of the game, as reported by trusted sports news sources and official league data. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches to understand how the outcome is being verified.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 7, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Cincinnati or Nashville SC would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also influence expectations. Additionally, any significant tactical adjustments announced by either team’s coach could shift the perceived probabilities. Finally, public sentiment and media coverage leading up to the match could also contribute to fluctuations in the market price, as traders react to new information and adjust their positions.