TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 9:29 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming MLS game between FC Cincinnati and D.C. United SC, scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Cincinnati" if FC Cincinnati score more goals than D.C. United SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Cincinnati and D.C. United SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC score more goals than FC Cincinnati in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming MLS game between FC Cincinnati and D.C. United SC, scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Cincinnati" if FC Cincinnati score more goals than D.C. United SC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if FC Cincinnati and D.C. United SC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC score more goals than FC Cincinnati in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how collective intelligence differs from traditional oddsmaking. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Discrepancies can arise from differing risk assessments or the influence of public sentiment, and can signal potential value for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United second half. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a probability distribution. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on the platform, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations. As new information emerges, the price will adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official result of the second half of the FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC match. Any goals scored, or lack thereof, during the second half will dictate the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several signals could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either FC Cincinnati or D.C. United would likely impact the odds. Tactical changes announced by either team’s manager, or even weather conditions on match day, could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, in-game events during the first half, such as a red card or an early goal, would almost certainly cause a rapid shift in the price of shares in this market, as traders react to the changing dynamics of the game.