TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Bayern Munchen vs. BC Dubai
Volume:
$101,277
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for March 19 at 3:30PM ET: If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to "FC Bayern Munchen". If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to "BC Dubai". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves to YES for both possible outcomes (Dubai win OR Bayern win), making it logically contradictory and unresolvable. Polymarket correctly resolves to either 'FC Bayern Munchen' or 'BC Dubai' based on the winner. These are fundamentally incompatible resolution frameworks.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's market — it contains a fatal logical error where both outcomes trigger YES resolution, violating basic binary market principles. Polymarket's market is the only resolvable option in this group. Seek clarification or cancellation of the Kalshi contract before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves to YES if Dubai wins OR if Bayern wins — a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable. The rules state 'If Dubai Basketball wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Bayern Munich wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' leaving no NO outcome possible. Key quote: 'If Dubai Basketball wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Bayern Munich wins the...game...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound binary logic: Resolves to 'FC Bayern Munchen' if Bayern wins, or 'BC Dubai' if Dubai wins — a mutually exclusive, exhaustive outcome pair. Includes postponement and cancellation clauses. Key quote: 'If the FC Bayern Munchen win, the market will resolve to FC Bayern Munchen. If the BC Dubai win, the market will resolve to BC Dubai.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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