TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 6:05 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game between FC Bayern München and Real Madrid CF Femenino, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Women's Champions League game between FC Bayern München and Real Madrid CF Femenino, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a profit margin into their odds, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise where you could theoretically profit by betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, factors like differing liquidity and transaction fees should be considered when evaluating such opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact score outcomes. The price of each share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular score is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF Femenino match, specifically the exact final score, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential protests or appeals will be considered only if they lead to an official change in the match result as reported by recognized sports authorities.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Bayern München or Real Madrid CF Femenino would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Tactical announcements from either team’s manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also impact trader sentiment. Even broader factors like weather conditions on match day or unexpected changes in team morale could contribute to price movements in this market.