TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Bayern München vs. Eintracht Frankfurt
Volume:
$1,422,555
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between FC Bayern München and Eintracht Frankfurt scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Bayern win, a Frankfurt win, or a draw, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms resolve based on the official Bundesliga match result at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent treatment of postponements and near-identical outcome definitions.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga match records and final scoreline at 90 minutes plus stoppage timeCore resolution logic:
- Bayern München win resolves Yes on Bayern win markets; No on Frankfurt win and draw markets
- Eintracht Frankfurt win resolves Yes on Frankfurt win markets; No on Bayern win and draw markets
- Draw (equal goals after 90 minutes plus stoppage time) resolves Yes on draw markets; No on both win markets
- Resolution scope is strictly 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Postponed matches remain open until the game is completed and a result is available
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Cancellation Without Rescheduling: Polymarket: Draw market resolves Yes, Bayern and Frankfurt win markets resolve No. Kalshi: Does not explicitly address this scenario; markets would likely remain unresolved pending clarification from the exchange.
- Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the match is completed and a final result is determined.
- Extra Time or Penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalties from resolution; only the 90-minute result plus stoppage time counts.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes at 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 21, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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