TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:47 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 31 at 1:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 31 at 1:30 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially offering different insights than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by professional oddsmakers, while this market's pricing is driven by the collective predictions of individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the initial sportsbook lines. Examining these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of different outcomes. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the market price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing expectations regarding the Bayern vs Dortmund match.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Bayern vs Dortmund match, as declared by the governing football authorities. The market will determine which outcome – a Bayern win, a Dortmund win, or a draw – is the accurate result of the game, based on the official scoreline. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout.
Several factors could influence the pricing of this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Bayern München or Borussia Dortmund would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Unexpected team news, such as changes in formation or starting lineups, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, any major news related to team morale, coaching changes, or even weather conditions could contribute to price movements. The overall performance of both teams in their preceding matches will also be closely watched by traders.