TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 5:08 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the probability of Over 0.5 goals being scored in the first half of the FC Bayern München versus Arsenal FC Champions League match. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Predict and Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5. Resolution will be based on official statistics from uefa.com. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on April 9, 2024, as the first half score will determine the outcome of this market.
More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 21 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 21 at 3:00 PM ET.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading mechanisms also differ; Polymarket uses a continuous market model, while Predict may operate differently. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform impacts price discovery. With a volume of $2,066,575 overall, differing levels of activity on Polymarket versus Predict can create price discrepancies. These factors combine to create distinct probabilities for the same event.