Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome (Bayern Munich, Union Berlin, or Draw) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 21, 2026, using official governing body statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics and the governing body or event organizers' final match records
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves YES if Bayern Munich wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves YES if Union Berlin wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Exactly ONE of the three outcomes will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
Extra time and penalties are excluded from resolution scope.
If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Bayern and Union markets resolve NO, and the Draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Bayern and Union win markets resolve NO, while the Draw market resolves YES.
Delayed Official Statistics: If official governing body statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by the Bundesliga or governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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