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FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

Volume:
$796,701

O/U 4.5

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 7:46 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$245,130
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$70,980
N/A
N/A
$45,934
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$58,474
N/A
N/A
$21,710
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$49,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München (-3.5)

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$47,807
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,602
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
100%
67%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$37,886
N/A
N/A
$22,765
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München (-2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,963
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,383
N/A
N/A
$12,979
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,673
N/A
N/A
$13,863
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,916
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,659
N/A
N/A
$13,965
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,752
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München (-1.5)

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$15,588
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,716
N/A
N/A
$4,492
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,185
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München O/U 2.5

View
100%
22%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$6,218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München O/U 5.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
12%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,029
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Both Teams to Score

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,898
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München O/U 4.5

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1. FC Magdeburg O/U 0.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

FC Bayern München (-4.5)

View
100%
61%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 57

Intro

This market tracks the Over/Under 4.5 goals scored in the DFB-Pokal match between FC Bayern München and 1. FC Magdeburg. Currently, the consensus probability of FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg exceeding 4.5 goals is 100.0%. This prediction is an aggregation of views from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on the official final score published on https://www.dfb.de/. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the resolution will be determined by the final score reported following the conclusion of play on October 28, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Discrepancies exist in the definition of game completion (inclusion of extra time/penalties) and a likely data entry error on Kalshi regarding the event date.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket as the more reliable source due to its broader resolution criteria and the likely date error on Kalshi. Be cautious of markets relying on strict 90-minute + stoppage time definitions.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the official final score (90 mins + stoppage time) from dfb.de with fallback sources. Includes a 50/50 resolution for cancellations. "This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time."
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time and penalties. The event date is listed as Oct 28, 2026. "If over 0.5 goals are scored...after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties)..."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for October 28 at 3:45 PM ET.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the Bayern Munich vs Magdeburg DFB Pokal match scheduled for October 28, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specified half-goal increment ranging from 0.5 to 5.5, counting only goals scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and excluding any goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the collective beliefs of traders who have 'skin in the game'. This market, for example, may show a different probability for a Bayern win than a typical sportsbook. Furthermore, prediction markets often incorporate information more quickly, as traders react to news and events in real-time. The volume of $796,701 suggests significant interest in this event, potentially leading to more accurate predictions than those offered by sportsbooks.