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$333,432,169

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2,984,640,614

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$1,971,286,090

419,492

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4,654

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg?

Volume:
$1,523,913

FC Bayern München

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 7:47 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Bayern München

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$268,380
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$198,752
N/A
N/A
$149,622
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1. FC Magdeburg

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$368,281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Magdeburg

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$253,379
N/A
N/A
$184,871
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg)

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$334,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$100,437
N/A
N/A
$69,843
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether FC Bayern München will win their professional DFB Pokal soccer game against 1. FC Magdeburg. Currently, the consensus probability of Bayern Munich winning on October 28, 2026 is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Polymarket and Kalshi, and will resolve based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official result. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 28, 2026, to see if Magdeburg can upset Bayern Munich and alter the outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi covers all possible outcomes (win/loss/draw), while Polymarket only focuses on a Bayern Munich win. Additionally, cancellation handling differs between platforms.Hero tip: Be mindful of the differing outcome definitions. Kalshi offers more comprehensive coverage, while Polymarket's markets are more focused. Consider the potential for correlated movement across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if Bayern Munich wins within 90 minutes + stoppage time, 'No' if the game is canceled. Only considers a Bayern win as a resolving event.
  • Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if either Bayern Munich or Magdeburg wins, or if the game ends in a draw, after 90 minutes + stoppage time. Resolves 'Yes' for all outcomes.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming DFB-Pokal game, scheduled for Wednesday, October 28, 2026 between FC Bayern München and 1. FC Magdeburg.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Bayern Munich vs Magdeburg professional DFB Pokal soccer match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for Bayern Munich, a win for Magdeburg, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Bayern vs. Magdeburg match from multiple platforms, including Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the combined volume across these platforms is $1,523,913, with $1,499,168 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a consensus view of the probability of various outcomes, allowing you to see where the crowd stands on who will win. It’s designed to show how opinions evolve as new information becomes available, offering a dynamic look at the predicted result of this highly anticipated contest.

Prediction market odds, like those visible on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources at play. Sportsbooks set lines to ensure profitability, factoring in a margin for themselves. Prediction markets, however, are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to more efficient pricing and, potentially, a more accurate reflection of the true probability of an event. While both aim to predict the result, the mechanisms and motivations behind the odds are fundamentally different.