TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.2b
24H VOL:
$217,900,088
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,256,149,940
499,530
Markets across
13,705
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,785
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC
Volume:
$3,232,564
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC La Liga match scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Sevilla win, a Barcelona win, or a draw, all measured at the conclusion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes an explicit cancellation-to-Yes clause, while Kalshi provides no cancellation logic. This creates divergent payoff scenarios if the match is canceled without a make-up game.Hero Tip:
Draw traders should note that Polymarket offers cancellation protection (resolves Yes), while Kalshi does not specify. For win/loss markets, both platforms align on 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage. Confirm with each platform's support whether a canceled match triggers market cancellation or alternative resolution.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Sevilla Win (Yes if Sevilla wins, No otherwise), Barcelona Win (Yes if Barcelona wins, No otherwise), and Draw (Yes if draw or if game is canceled with no make-up, No otherwise). Resolution source is official La Liga statistics or credible consensus within 2 hours of conclusion. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes.'
- Kalshi: Three outcome markets (Sevilla, Tie, Barcelona) each resolve to Yes if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. All three markets resolve to Yes only if the game completes; no guidance on postponement or cancellation scenarios. Key Quote: 'If Sevilla wins... then the market resolves to Yes' (same structure for Tie and Barcelona).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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