TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 10:52 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two reserve teams competing in the Czech National Football League. The result depends solely on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the FC Banik Ostrava B vs Slavia Prague B match scheduled for October 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the actual result: FC Banik Ostrava B win, Slavia Prague B win, or a tied score. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve at a fair price. The event exclusively considers regular-time results, excluding extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.
Typically, prediction market odds tend to reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, those offered by sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to find an equilibrium. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, they’ll buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a real-time forecast of the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the FC Banik Ostrava B versus Slavia Prague B match in the Czech Second League. The platform will verify the final score against reliable sources to determine which outcome, if any, corresponds to the winning contract. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team form, player injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these teams could also shift expectations. Even broader factors like weather conditions or referee assignments might play a role, as traders incorporate all available information into their assessments of the likely outcome of the FC Banik Ostrava B versus Slavia Prague B match.