TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:30 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Augsburg and SC Freiburg, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Augsburg and SC Freiburg, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Augsburg vs. SC Freiburg match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially closer to the event date. This is because prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, incorporating a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbooks often offer more competitive pricing on popular outcomes due to higher volumes. It’s common to see differences in probabilities, particularly for less likely outcomes, as this market reflects a more nuanced assessment of all possibilities. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights for informed decision-making.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible exact scoreline. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe a particular score is likely, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds constantly adapt to new information and changing sentiment. The current implied probabilities are driven entirely by trader activity on Predict.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the FC Augsburg versus SC Freiburg match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football league. Any potential delays in reporting the official score may affect the resolution time, but the market will settle as soon as a definitive result is available and confirmed. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Augsburg or SC Freiburg would likely cause shifts in the probabilities. Tactical changes announced by either manager, or even unexpected weather conditions on match day, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, live updates during the match itself, such as early goals or red cards, will undoubtedly lead to rapid price adjustments. Monitoring team news and pre-match analysis will be crucial for understanding potential market movements.