TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:30 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Augsburg and FC Bayern München, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Augsburg and FC Bayern München, scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München match originally scheduled for October 10, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, incorporating a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by participant beliefs. If a large number of traders believe an outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, offering potential value for informed traders. However, these differences aren’t guaranteed and can vary depending on the event.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different exact scores. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. When more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of that outcome. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform doesn’t impose any inherent bias; the market’s price is solely determined by the collective actions of its participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the aggregate forecast of those trading.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final, official result of the FC Augsburg versus FC Bayern München match, specifically the exact scoreline, will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform relies on publicly available sources to verify the result, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score after the match concludes to understand the outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Augsburg or FC Bayern München would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the game could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by pre-match analysis or commentary, could influence trading activity and move the market’s price.