TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:40 AM EST
Polymarket
This group contains a comprehensive set of markets related to the FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga match, covering various spread and over/under outcomes for the entire game and for the first half. Markets include spreads with different point values, total goals over/under lines, and both teams to score propositions.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 24 at 9:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for October 24 at 9:30 AM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when there’s significant public information or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Augsburg vs. Union Berlin match. The difference can stem from varying levels of information access and differing risk appetites among participants in each venue.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance, leading to differing opinions on the probability of outcomes for the Augsburg vs. Union Berlin match. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and potentially influence the price. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery – how traders can create and interact with markets – differ between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to these price variations.