TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:30 AM EST
Predict
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Augsburg and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between FC Augsburg and 1. FC Union Berlin, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Augsburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin match originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, whereas this market is driven by individuals willing to take the other side of a bet. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than a sportsbook suggests, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets more accurately forecast probabilities, especially when there's strong public interest and active trading.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score, and the price of each share reflects the market's assessment of that outcome's probability. As more shares are bought for a specific score, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand, with traders expressing their beliefs about the match's outcome through their trading activity. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the FC Augsburg versus 1. FC Union Berlin match will be used to determine the winning share(s). The resolution will be based on the official result published by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score at the time of resolution will receive a payout based on the final market price of those shares.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Augsburg or Union Berlin would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to heavily impact the style of play, could also be a catalyst. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable soccer experts predicting a specific scoreline might sway market sentiment and trigger trading volume. Unexpected lineup announcements close to kickoff could also have a notable effect.