TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between FC Augsburg and 1. FC Köln scheduled for February 27, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Augsburg win, Köln win, or draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements (defer until played) and cancellations (no makeup = no win for either team, draw market resolves Yes on Polymarket; Kalshi's omnibus structure resolves to the applicable outcome or cancellation rule).
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga match records and final scoreline as published by Bundesliga.comCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is based on the official match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: FC Augsburg win, 1. FC Köln win, or draw
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled makeup game, Augsburg and Köln win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes on Polymarket; Kalshi's omnibus structure applies the same cancellation rule
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played to completion. Resolution occurs only after the rescheduled match concludes.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket resolves Augsburg win and Köln win markets to No and the draw market to Yes. Kalshi's omnibus structure (all three outcomes in one market) applies the same logic: the draw outcome resolves Yes.
- Scope: Regular Time Only: Resolution is based strictly on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). If postponed, resolution is deferred until the rescheduled match is completed. If canceled with no makeup, resolution occurs upon official cancellation announcement.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.