TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 7:36 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between FC Arouca and CF Estrela da Amadora, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between FC Arouca and CF Estrela da Amadora, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score. The price of each share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and its implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price movements are driven by supply and demand, responding to new information and shifts in sentiment regarding the Arouca vs. Estrela da Amadora match. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the aggregated beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Arouca vs. Estrela da Amadora match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact score determined by official sources will be used to determine the winning shares in this market. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result as it approaches the resolution date to understand how this market will settle.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Arouca or Estrela da Amadora would likely impact the probabilities. Changes in team form, based on recent match results, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, potentially affecting playing style, could also be a catalyst. Finally, any significant tactical announcements from either manager could influence expectations and lead to price adjustments in this market as traders react to the latest information.