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413,109

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FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora?

Volume:
$741,009

FC Arouca

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 7:37 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Arouca

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$518,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Arouca

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$110,183
N/A
N/A
$57,553
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CF Estrela da Amadora

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$43,649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Estrela Amadora

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,349
N/A
N/A
$14,447
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$31,633
N/A
N/A
$21,108
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (FC Arouca vs. CF Estrela da Amadora)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether FC Arouca will win their Liga Portugal soccer match against CF Estrela da Amadora on October 11, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of FC Arouca winning is 100.0%, with CF Estrela da Amadora winning at 0.1%. This aggregate view combines data from Kalshi and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official Liga Portugal statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match result itself on October 11, 2026, to see if the current strong expectation for an Arouca win holds true.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the 90-minute result plus stoppage time, using official sources with defined fallbacks.Primary resolution logic: Official Liga Portugal statistics (https://www.ligaportugal.pt/), with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result of the match within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is canceled without a reschedule, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • If the match is postponed, the markets remain open until the match is completed.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official statistics are available, whichever is sooner.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026 between FC Arouca and CF Estrela da Amadora.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes for the Arouca vs Estrela Amadora professional Liga Portugal soccer match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026: Arouca win, Estrela Amadora win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its respective outcome occurs. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the event rules. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view of traders on the outcome of the FC Arouca versus CF Estrela da Amadora match within the Portuguese Liga Portugal. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $741,009, with $702,765 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard displays the probabilities assigned to different outcomes by users on each platform, providing a comprehensive overview of market sentiment. This allows for a comparison of how traders perceive the likelihood of each team winning, or a draw, in this particular match. The dashboard helps visualize the collective prediction.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders. This means that prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can also arise from differing levels of liquidity and the specific expertise of participants in each venue. The current volume of $741,009 suggests growing interest in this event.