Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All three markets across Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 19, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics from Liga Portugal (ligaportugal.pt) as recognized by the governing body, or consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves YES if FC Arouca wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves YES if the match ends in a draw within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Market resolves YES if CF Estrela da Amadora wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Exactly ONE of the three markets will resolve YES (mutually exclusive outcomes).
Resolution is based only on regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed and the final result is determined.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the Arouca win and Estrela win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official Liga Portugal statistics; if not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus is used instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of the final match result by Liga Portugal or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.