TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 2:26 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Arouca and CD Nacional, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Arouca" if FC Arouca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Nacional" if CD Nacional are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Arouca and CD Nacional, scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 10:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Arouca" if FC Arouca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "CD Nacional" if CD Nacional are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own research and insights. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the likelihood of either team scoring first. However, sportsbook odds can also incorporate factors not fully captured by the prediction market, such as team news or injuries, so differences aren't always indicative of mispricing.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the FC Arouca vs. CD Nacional match. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard resolution procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Key events include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either FC Arouca or CD Nacional, changes in team formations, or updates on weather conditions that could affect the match. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or manager comments could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting patterns or expert analysis, could also contribute to movement in this market.