TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:11 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between FC Alverca and FC Arouca, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Alverca" if FC Alverca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Arouca" if FC Arouca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between FC Alverca and FC Arouca, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "FC Alverca" if FC Alverca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Arouca" if FC Arouca are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of either FC Alverca or FC Arouca scoring first. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a team's chances, the odds on Polymarket will adjust accordingly. This can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions, as the market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives than a single sportsbook might.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether FC Alverca or FC Arouca will score first. As more shares are bought for one outcome, its price increases, and the price of the other outcome decreases. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds are constantly updated based on the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the FC Alverca versus FC Arouca match. The official match records will serve as the source for determining the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and shares will be redeemed based on the final result. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the match progresses to understand when resolution is likely to occur.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, injuries to key players, or changes in coaching strategies could significantly shift market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role, potentially favoring one team’s playing style over the other. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, and even significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could all contribute to movements in the price of shares on Polymarket as traders react to new information.