TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Liga Portugal soccer match between FC Alverca and CD Santa Clara scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three binary outcome markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, covering all possible match results: Alverca win, Santa Clara win, and draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi use identical match outcome definitions (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and align on postponement handling. A minor edge case exists regarding cancellation without makeup: Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to Yes, while Kalshi provides no cancellation clause.
Primary resolution logic:
Liga Portugal official website (ligaportugal.pt) and match recordsCore resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Alverca win (Yes on Alverca market, No on Santa Clara and draw markets), Santa Clara win (Yes on Santa Clara market, No on Alverca and draw markets), or draw (Yes on draw market, No on Alverca and Santa Clara markets)
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game, Alverca and Santa Clara win markets resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes on Polymarket (Kalshi unspecified)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: Both platforms keep markets open until the rescheduled match is completed and a final outcome is determined
- Cancellation without makeup (Polymarket): Draw market resolves Yes; Alverca and Santa Clara win markets resolve No
- Cancellation without makeup (Kalshi): No explicit cancellation clause provided; resolution logic is incomplete for this edge case
- Scope limitation: Resolution covers only regulation 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are explicitly excluded
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on February 21, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed. Markets settle within 24-48 hours of official match completionOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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