TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
FC Alverca vs. Casa Pia AC
kalshi
limitless
polymarket

What is the result of FC Alverca vs. Casa Pia AC?

Total volume:
$105
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$11,902
10%
Open interest:
$105N/A

FC Alverca

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 04d:14h:39m

Will FC Alverca win on 2026-11-07?

56%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 57¢ buys you 175 shares | Odds: 56% Total Payout: $175 | Net Profit: $75 Multiplier: 1.75x | ROI: 75% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

FC Alverca

Trade
56%
1%
Yes 57¢No 45¢
2¢
$3,462
$105
0%
N/A
N/A
4d 14h 39m
Active
kalshi

Alverca

N/A
N/A
4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 39m
Active
limitless

Alverca

N/A
N/A
10¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 14h 39m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
56%
Yes 57¢No 45¢
Avg: 5.3¢Max: 10¢
polymarket

Draw (FC Alverca vs. Casa Pia AC)

25%
1%
Yes 26¢No 76¢
2¢
$4,969
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 14h 39m
Active
kalshi

Tie

N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 39m
Active
limitless

Draw

N/A
N/A
12.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 14h 39m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 5.5¢Max: 12.4¢
polymarket

Casa Pia AC

19%
Yes 20¢No 83¢
3¢
$3,471
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 14h 39m
Active
kalshi

Casa Pia

N/A
N/A
3¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 17h 39m
Active
limitless

Casa Pia

N/A
N/A
11.4¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 14h 39m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 5.8¢Max: 11.4¢
Total markets: 9

Description

This group of markets concerns the outcome of a Liga Portugal soccer match between FC Alverca and Casa Pia AC scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets ask whether Alverca will win, Casa Pia will win, or the match will end in a draw, all within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms, specifically regarding the resolution of draw markets. Polymarket and Limitless have opposite resolutions for draw markets in the event of a cancellation.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading draw markets. Limitless offers a potentially more favorable outcome in the event of a cancellation, while Polymarket's cancellation resolution for win/loss markets may be more conservative.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves win/loss markets to 'No' and draw markets to 'Yes' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses a tiered source hierarchy (official stats -> Flashscore -> Sofascore -> consensus).
  • Limitless: Resolves win markets to 'NO' and draw markets to 'YES' if the match is not completed and no make-up match is scheduled. Revisions to scores after resolution are not considered.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between FC Alverca and Casa Pia AC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Alverca vs Casa Pia professional Liga Portugal soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Alverca, a win for Casa Pia, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The markets are independent of any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Limitless

This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 7, 2026, 18:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring profit regardless of the outcome, while prediction markets aim to reflect the true probability of an event as determined by traders. This market’s odds represent the collective belief of participants, potentially offering a more accurate assessment, especially when significant information isn't yet priced into sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks typically have higher liquidity and wider market coverage than prediction markets.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for the Alverca vs. Casa Pia match may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading volumes, and market structures. Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders with specific expertise, while Kalshi could have a broader, less informed audience. Additionally, differing liquidity levels can influence price discovery; lower volume on one platform can lead to greater price volatility. These variations are normal and reflect the independent price-setting mechanisms of each platform.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Alverca vs. Casa Pia match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official match result, as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies based on the verified outcome of this market.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 8, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either FC Alverca or Casa Pia AC would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also impact trader sentiment. Major news related to team management or internal issues could also move the market. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analysis predicting a specific outcome for the Alverca vs. Casa Pia match could influence trading activity.