TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
FC Alverca vs. AVS Futebol
Volume:
$93,458
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between FC Alverca and AVS Futebol SAD scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three markets track the possible outcomes: Alverca win, AVS win, and draw, all resolving based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction: all three mutually exclusive outcomes are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable as written. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with consistent logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading the Kalshi market until the platform clarifies which single outcome should resolve Yes. Polymarket's three-market structure is logically sound and resolvable. Treat Kalshi as a data integrity failure pending platform correction.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three independent binary markets covering all possible outcomes (Alverca win, AVS win, draw). Each market resolves Yes or No based on whether its specific outcome occurs. Resolution source is official Liga Portugal statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, or credible reporting consensus if official stats delayed. Cancellation with no makeup resolves draw market to Yes, others to No.
- Kalshi: Single market with three outcome branches, but all three are specified to resolve to Yes: 'If Alverca wins...Yes', 'If Tie wins...Yes', 'If AVS wins...Yes'. This is logically impossible since only one outcome can occur. Market structure is malformed and unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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