TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional Ettan soccer match between FBK Karlstad and Eskilstuna. The market focuses on determining whether either team wins the match within regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. The result is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the FBK Karlstad vs Eskilstuna professional Ettan soccer game scheduled for October 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: a win for FBK Karlstad, a win for Eskilstuna, or a tie. If either team secures a victory within regular time, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match concludes with an equal score, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly adheres to the result after regular time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s pricing is driven by real-money trading and the aggregated predictions of participants. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, leading to potentially advantageous opportunities for informed traders. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the public perceives the likelihood of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the potential outcomes of the Swedish Hockey League match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as profitable trades require correctly anticipating the event's outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of those trading the market.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the final result of the Swedish Hockey League match between FBK Karlstad and Eskilstuna, as officially recorded by the league. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not. The exact details of the resolution are determined by Kalshi’s market rules.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even weather conditions impacting travel, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants, or even public sentiment expressed through social media, might cause noticeable price movements in the lead-up to the Swedish Hockey League match. Monitoring these signals can help traders assess potential opportunities.