TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

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2,984,640,614

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$1,923,931,766

416,910

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40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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FBC Melgar vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of FBC Melgar vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos?

Volume:
$768,298

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 10:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$214,742
N/A
N/A
$97,907
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (FBC Melgar vs. CD Comerciantes Unidos)

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Melgar

View
0%
78%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$289,014
N/A
N/A
$103,675
Settled
No
polymarket

FBC Melgar

View
0%
76%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$73,080
$37,983
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Comerciantes U.

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$213,435
N/A
N/A
$130,209
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Comerciantes Unidos

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,624
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Liga 1 soccer match between FBC Melgar and CD Comerciantes Unidos on October 29, 2026. Markets exist for Melgar winning, Comerciantes Unidos winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on the core resolution criteria: determining the winner (or a draw) within the standard 90-minute match duration, and the fallback resolution process if official data is delayed or unavailable.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Liga1.pe).

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves based on the outcome of the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for either team or a draw determines the resolution of the respective markets.
  • If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled with no make-up game, win markets resolve 'No', and the draw market resolves 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Delay: If official statistics are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • No Data Available: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market will resolve 50-50, or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, with a maximum delay of 24 hours after the scheduled match time.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for Thursday, October 29, 2026 between FBC Melgar and CD Comerciantes Unidos.

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes for the Melgar vs Comerciantes U. professional Peru Liga 1 soccer match scheduled for October 29, 2026: Melgar win, Comerciantes U. win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' only if its specific outcome occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to divergences, especially when new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's possible to find arbitrage opportunities by comparing the implied probabilities from both sources, though transaction costs and market liquidity should be considered.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Additionally, differing liquidity levels on each platform can lead to price discrepancies. For example, if Polymarket has significantly higher volume, its prices may be more responsive to new information or shifts in sentiment. Furthermore, the specific types of traders active on each platform—such as more sophisticated or casual participants—can contribute to variations in how this market is priced.