TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.2b
24H VOL:
$192,072,993
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,842,388,377
408,027
Markets across
40,419
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:12 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul and Muglaspor, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul" if Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Muglaspor" if Muglaspor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul and Muglaspor, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul" if Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Muglaspor" if Muglaspor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a team will score first, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb. This creates a dynamic pricing system driven by supply and demand, offering a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the early lead.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team that scores the first goal in the Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul versus Muglaspor match will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on official match data and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul or Muglaspor would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning streak or a string of losses, could also impact trader sentiment. Even weather conditions on match day could play a role, potentially favoring one team's playing style over the other. Any unexpected developments leading up to the kickoff have the potential to move this market.