TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 2:10 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul and Muglaspor, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul vs. Muglaspor match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game between Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul and Muglaspor, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul vs. Muglaspor match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 9:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing insights regarding team form or player availability. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores. The price of each share reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that score occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's depth – the number of shares available at different price points – indicates the level of confidence traders have in each outcome. Higher volume generally suggests greater agreement among participants.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final, official score of the Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul vs. Muglaspor match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100% in favor of the share corresponding to the exact final score as recorded by official sources. Any disputes regarding the official score will be resolved using widely accepted sports data providers. The resolution process ensures a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul or Muglaspor would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause fluctuations. Furthermore, large-volume trades by informed participants could signal new information or a change in market perception, potentially leading to price adjustments before Oct 11, 2026.