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Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul vs. Muglaspor
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul vs. Muglaspor?

Volume:
$44,143

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 10:57 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,687
N/A
N/A
$9,999
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul vs. Muglaspor)

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mugla

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,634
N/A
N/A
$11,807
Settled
No
polymarket

Muglaspor

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,660
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Karagumruk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,242
N/A
N/A
$5,418
Settled
No
polymarket

Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,786
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul and Muglaspor, scheduled for October 11, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning or the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms align on resolving based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, utilizing a consistent hierarchy of data sources and handling of cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (TFF.org).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or sooner if official data is readily available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Turkey 1. Lig game, scheduled for Sunday, October 11, 2026 between Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul and Muglaspor.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Karagumruk vs Mugla professional TFF 1. Lig soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Karagumruk, a win for Mugla, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' outcome resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the collective predictions on the outcome of the Fatih Karagumruk Istanbul versus Muglaspor match within the Turkish Cup. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $44,143, with $43,685 traded in the last 24 hours. The current consensus view, based on trading activity, indicates a probability distribution across possible results. This allows for a cross-platform comparison of sentiment regarding the Turkish Cup market, providing a broader perspective than any single prediction market alone. The dashboard aggregates data to show a combined view of market participants’ expectations.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market’s odds are driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. This dynamic can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from the sportsbook’s assessment. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs, which can influence pricing. It’s important to remember that both sources provide valuable information, and comparing them can offer a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome of this market.